Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.349330 0.397323 0.452254 0.520396 0.603530 0.702809 0.832120
2024-12-15 0.280063 0.342847 0.422729 0.534490 0.691397 0.911517 1.259067
2024-12-22 0.232373 0.298973 0.390180 0.529573 0.748016 1.099077 1.761988
2024-12-29 0.204109 0.273046 0.373172 0.537906 0.822241 1.341372 2.519986
2025-01-05 0.176064 0.241732 0.340991 0.512946 0.831424 1.473049 3.173890
2025-01-12 0.153803 0.215358 0.311278 0.484299 0.823524 1.566210 3.832960
2025-01-19 0.137409 0.195691 0.288953 0.463325 0.823420 1.676545 4.682608
2025-01-26 0.132621 0.193507 0.294746 0.494348 0.940573 2.140635 7.595535
2025-02-02 0.131885 0.197632 0.311735 0.550824 1.138610 2.999196 15.405264
2025-02-09 0.127816 0.195531 0.317058 0.584527 1.296854 3.911424 30.559987
2025-02-16 0.122622 0.190807 0.316651 0.605478 1.431137 4.919187 63.800077
2025-02-23 0.115851 0.182530 0.308162 0.605729 1.504360 5.767514 128.322721
2025-03-02 0.106471 0.169124 0.288786 0.578229 1.485676 6.163479 224.063287
2025-03-09 0.100191 0.161015 0.279474 0.574917 1.554332 7.306199 782.952692
2025-03-16 0.093916 0.152358 0.268001 0.563794 1.591744 8.378415 5014.914692
2025-03-23 0.089778 0.147390 0.263721 0.571136 1.708503 10.576800 NaN
2025-03-30 0.083448 0.137657 0.248013 0.543556 1.665988 11.087276 NaN
2025-04-06 0.077446 0.128159 0.231960 0.512417 1.596430 11.171187 NaN
2025-04-13 0.072561 0.120555 0.219462 0.489722 1.558128 11.652074 NaN
2025-04-20 0.071880 0.121222 0.225563 0.523225 1.809029 18.013679 NaN
2025-04-27 0.072696 0.124963 0.239239 0.584393 2.271683 36.716962 NaN
2025-05-04 0.071855 0.125206 0.244674 0.620992 2.646010 68.630281 NaN
2025-05-11 0.070299 0.123806 0.245911 0.643776 2.964820 126.350387 NaN